Monday, November 17, 2008

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Telling It Like It Is
Last week I said the economy was going through a period of deflation. That was just a trial balloon and an attempt at being PC. We’re entering into a depression. Things are a lot worse than underwater mortgages and SUVs losing trade-in value.


“The economy faces a slump deeper than the Great Depression and a growing deficit threatens the credit of the United States itself,” former Goldman Sachs chairman John Whitehead, 86, said at the Reuters Global Finance Summit on Wednesday. "I think it would be worse than the depression," Whitehead said. "We're talking about reducing the credit of the United States of America, which is the backbone of the economic system." When you’re 86 years old and Social Security and Medicare’s got your back, why mince words.


Here’s what another senior citizen, George Soros, has to say, “Our greatest economic depression is ahead of us.”


One more retiree, Warren Buffet, in September said, "This is an economic Pearl Harbor. There's no plan B for this . . . we were at the brink of something that would have made anything that happened in financial history pale.” (Pale by comparison . . . finish your sentences Warren). Former Fed chairman Paul Volker, a downright New Age positive thinker by the standards of this group, says, “There’s a 75% chance of financial collapse within the next five years.”

From academia: “The United States is bankrupt. Our economic situation is worse than Brazil, worse than Argentina, worse than any nation in the world,” according to Professor Laurence Kotlikoff of Boston University. I never heard of this guy before, but he’s got a way with words. And from government service: "When we look back 10 years from now, we will see 2008 as a fundamental financial rupture,” says Peer Steinbruck, Financial Minister of Germany.

Associated Press on Friday reported that the mayors of Philadelphia, Atlanta, San Jose, and Phoenix are requesting bailouts. They'll have to get in line behind the entire state of California, NYC, Chicago, Detroit, and LA.


There are a few bright spots, though; gun sales are one of them. The FBI reports that gun sales increased 13% in October and had a huge 49% spike in the first six days following the election. Hurry and get yours before supplies run out.


It’s time to prepare for hard times. There are a number of lists of “100 Things that Disappear First.” Google one that addresses your lifestyle and climate. Many of these items, like manual can openers, make good stocking stuffers. By the way, no Gift Cards this year. Gift cards are not yet guaranteed by the FDIC. If the store goes out of business, that’s the end of the gift card. Same thing with product maintenance contracts.

mg

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